According to the study, achieving full heat adaptation in Spain would require the heat mortality trigger temperature to rise at an average rate of 0.6°C per decade nationwide.
Notes on verification
Confirmed by ISCIII press release and two independent news outlets, all tracing back to the same peer-reviewed 2019 Díaz et al. study in Environmental Research. Corroboration is broad but not independently sourced beyond the original research; a related follow-up study shows a consistent temperature trend figure.
Sources
- Un estudio cifra en cerca de 50.000 millones de euros anuales el coste que tendría para España la no adaptación al calor - ISCIII Portal Web (isciii.es)
- https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0013935119301215 (sciencedirect.com)
- https://www.elagoradiario.com/desarrollo-sostenible/economia-circular/no-adaptarse-olas-calor-costara-50-000-millones-espana/ (elagoradiario.com)
- https://www.elindependiente.com/vida-sana/salud/2019/07/28/espana-agosto-2050-como-sobreviviremos-al-cambio-climatico/ (elindependiente.com)