The congressional maps initially produced by North Carolina's Republican-controlled legislature were projected to give Democrats only 3 of the state's 14 congressional districts, or 4 in a good year, while Republicans would win 10 or 11.
Notes on verification
Multiple independent, credible sources (Brennan Center, Duke gerrymandering project, Democracy Docket) corroborate the specific 10-4/11-3 seat projection for North Carolina's 2023 congressional map.
Sources
- What's at Stake When the Supreme Court Argues Moore v. ... (propublica.org)
- https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/anatomy-north-carolina-gerrymander (brennancenter.org)
- https://sites.duke.edu/quantifyinggerrymandering/2023/10/20/newly-proposed-nc-maps-are-more-gerrymandered-and-less-responsive-than-maps-struck-down-in-2021/ (sites.duke.edu)
- https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/north-carolina-republicans-unveil-new-congressional-and-legislative-maps/ (democracydocket.com)